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Introduction

Ecclesiastes tells us: “The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun.” Myrmikan Research applies this principle to the subject of credit bubbles.

The ancient Greeks discovered that debt could magnify wealth. The debtor feels richer from the use of the borrowed property, while the lender feels richer from the compounding interest yielded by his claim. As long as the accumulating claims remain contingent, the bubble grows. But, eventually, someone asks to be paid, and the expanding claims on wealth must be reconciled to tangible wealth: this is the financial crisis.

Threatened with a civil war of creditor versus debtor, Solon, the archon of Athens in 594 B.C., pulled down the mortgage stones, freeing the debtors, and devalued the drachma by 27% to relieve the bankers. Every credit collapse since – from the Panic of A.D. 33 to John Law’s Mississippi Bubble to the Great Depression – has followed Solon’s template of debt default and currency devaluation.

“Every collapse of a credit expansion is a bankruptcy, and the magnitude of the bankruptcy will be proportionate to the magnitude of the debt debauch. In bankruptcies, creditors must suffer.” – Freeman Tilden, 1936
Myrmikan Research chronicles the collapse of the current, global credit bubble – the largest and broadest in history – analyzing current events from the perspective of Austrian economics and placing them in historical context.

Samples

Gold's Mid-Cycle Correction
July 11, 2013

QE7: Incoherence at the Fed
Dec. 18, 2012

Gold Share Reflexivity
Aug. 14, 2012

Waiting on a Snowflake
Jul. 12, 2012

Drawdowns: On Volatility
Apr. 12, 2012

Capital Loss
May 12, 2010


Research Reports

Something Wicked This Way Comes
A re-examination of Hayek’s theme that economic planning necessarily leads to dictatorship.
May 6, 2012

Liquidity: Gold’s Role in the Monetary System
A comprehensive analysis of why the free market always chooses gold as money and the consequences of an illiquid central bank.
Dec. 15, 2011



Media

Bloomberg Interview
Jun. 21, 2013

Bloomberg Interview
Jun. 20, 2012

Bloomberg Interview
Jan. 11, 2012


Speeches

Remarks Made Before the Committee for Monetary Research and Education
May 12, 2011


Articles

Dollar Endgame
Real Clear Markets
June 27, 2013

Fewer but Richer Gold Bugs
Real Clear Markets
May 29, 2013

Gold Mining Stocks Are An Increasingly Attractive Opportunity
Forbes.com
Jul. 2, 2012

Warren Buffett May Know Value, But He Doesn't Know What Money Is
Forbes.com
Feb. 29, 2012

Government Policy Made Private Equity Lucrative
National Review Online
Feb. 7, 2012

Soon the Economic Deluge
Forbes.com
Jan. 6, 2011

Socialism in Stages
National Review Online
Dec. 15, 2009


Essential Reading

Economic Consequences of Cheap Money
Ludwig von Mises, April 24, 1946

The Origin of Money
Carl Menger, June 1892

A World in Debt
Freeman Tilden, 1936

Popular Financial Delusions
Robert Smitley, 1933

Fiat Money Inflation in France
Andrew Dickson White, 1896

The Bubble that Broke the World
Garet Garrett, June 1932

Human Action
Ludwig von Mises, 1949
See especially Pages 226-229
and Chapters 19 & 20

Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German and American Inflations
Jens O. Parsson, April, 1974

A Minority Report of the U.S. Gold Commission
Ron Paul and Lewis Lehrman, 1982

Liquidity
Melchior Palyi, 1936 (Appendix added August 11, 1958)

Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World
Liaquat Ahamed, Janunary, 2009

Alchemists of Loss: How modern finance and government intervention crashed the financial system
Martin Hutchinson and Kevin Dowd, 2010

When Money Dies: The Nightmare of the Weimar Collapse
Adam Fergusson, 1975

Forty Centuries of Wage and Price Control
Robert L. Schuettinger and Eamonn F. Butler, 1979

As We go Marching
John T. Flynn, 1944

The Economics of Inflation
Constantino Bresciani-Turroni, 1931

On Chinese Currency
W. Vissering L.L.D., 1877